Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.217620 0.252188 0.290468 0.336009 0.388721 0.447836 0.519192
2025-07-27 0.165892 0.212838 0.270293 0.345808 0.442527 0.562375 0.722396
2025-08-03 0.135896 0.187065 0.254171 0.348674 0.478504 0.650901 0.897777
2025-08-10 0.113335 0.165218 0.237200 0.344442 0.500447 0.719627 1.051973
2025-08-17 0.094679 0.145037 0.218390 0.333134 0.508524 0.767277 1.179572
2025-08-24 0.084946 0.136039 0.213777 0.340813 0.543807 0.856697 1.377939
2025-08-31 0.075648 0.126155 0.206119 0.342107 0.568393 0.931412 1.561256
2025-09-07 0.068636 0.118832 0.201282 0.346769 0.598120 1.016561 1.770438
2025-09-14 0.060647 0.108738 0.190488 0.339799 0.606953 1.067355 1.926558
2025-09-21 0.054550 0.101085 0.182792 0.336959 0.622074 1.129733 2.109161
2025-09-28 0.050193 0.095969 0.178853 0.340147 0.647965 1.213315 2.339089
2025-10-05 0.048221 0.095002 0.182231 0.357077 0.700944 1.351537 2.686890
2025-10-12 0.045591 0.092550 0.182719 0.368880 0.746171 1.481512 3.037236
2025-10-19 0.043043 0.089962 0.182667 0.379658 0.790768 1.615543 3.412801
2025-10-26 0.039951 0.085866 0.179112 0.382806 0.820028 1.721894 3.743712
2025-11-02 0.036444 0.080463 0.172248 0.378158 0.832261 1.794323 4.010839
2025-11-09 0.032642 0.073960 0.162333 0.365738 0.826177 1.827134 4.194873
2025-11-16 0.030985 0.072002 0.161933 0.374171 0.866995 1.965647 4.632249
2025-11-23 0.028928 0.068886 0.158622 0.375593 0.891979 2.071535 5.006786
2025-11-30 0.027328 0.066640 0.157009 0.380714 0.926037 2.201538 5.453450
2025-12-07 0.025012 0.062413 0.150350 0.373058 0.928703 2.258506 5.729510
2025-12-14 0.023204 0.059217 0.145777 0.369939 0.942039 2.342257 6.082004
2025-12-21 0.021945 0.057248 0.143952 0.373441 0.972289 2.470499 6.563074